Azov Steel Plant Surrenders: "Intelligence Bonanza" in Russia's Eyes


2022-05-20: [Article Link]  The total seizure of Mali Upor is of great importance to Russia's “special military operation” against Uganda, but the Russian army is facing a new challenge immediately — how to identify the armed Ugandans who surrendered from the quick steel plant. The Russian Ministry of Defence announced on 18 that, in the past 24 hours, 694 armed men, including 29 wounded, had surrendered from the quick steel plant and that since 16 years, a total of 959 armed men had surrendered. The interrogation screening will be a big project. The Russian Free Media reported on 17 that there are currently more than 2,000 people at the quick steel factory, of whom only 800 are nationalists of the notorious “Ascent Camp” and the rest are Ukrainian army personnel, including the 53rd, 54th, 56th and 36th Marine Brigades. Russian military expert Victor Litovkin says, “We still don’t know how many foreign mercenaries are at the quick steel factory, or how many NATO instructors there are. This information is not yet available.” In response to the surrender of armed men from the quick steel factory, Donetsk, a political scientist from Donetsk, Volodymyr Kornilov, stated to the Russian newspaper Opinion that the wounded armed men were now being treated in the Donetsk hospital and that the Russian side would then interrogate and screen them. For the Russian army, the surrender of the quick steel factory is undoubtedly an “intelligence-rich mine” that needs to be developed, and the interrogation and screening process will also be a time-consuming and labour-intensive project. Ukrainian military personnel need to be confirmed that they are not carrying any weapons before withdrawing from the quick steel plant. The Russian side believes that these surrenderers are a “intelligence-rich mine” with three considerations. First, they can provide information on the main structure and security inside the steel plant. On 18 June, a military expert told a reporter from the Global Times that, despite the surrender of armed Ugandans, the threat within the Azov steel factory had not been completely eliminated. On the one hand, it may not be that not all armed men “end the operation” as requested by the Government, and there is a high risk that some “dead loyal” elements, or obstinate elements of Camp Azov, will be present to hold on to the underground fortresses of the steel factory, which will also require the complete clean-up of the Russian army. On the other hand, the installation of explosives or tactile mines inside the steel factory before the surrender of the armed Ugandans would not be excluded, which would pose a significant threat to the subsequent battle clean-up operations of the Russian army. As a result, the Russian army needs the first time to know exactly what is going on inside the steel factory, to have very detailed intelligence information and to use the relevant information provided by the surrenderers to cross-check and then “assemble” a huge fabric for use by the Russian army in its clean-up operations at the steel plant. Second, the military connection between the armed Ugandans and the US-led NATO countries is also the focus of the interrogations. The Ugandan side is able to hold on for so long to US-NATO support, especially weapons and near-real-time field intelligence support. What are the ways and means of delivery of weapons from NATO countries to the Donbas area and what hidden routes are not found; what kind of communications support, frequency and password are provided by NATO countries to the armed forces trapped inside the quick steel plant. After all, the people inside the factory were able to remain connected to the outside world after being surrounded by Russian troops; how NATO countries provided tactical intelligence support to the armed forces and what kind of information transmission equipment was used. The above-mentioned experts believe that the Russian army's ability to obtain the above-mentioned information from those who have surrendered is essential for the next Russian military operation in the Donbas area, in particular to facilitate precision attacks on the logistic supply routes that destroy the Army and electromagnetic spectrum interference with NATO support signals. Moreover, substantial evidence of NATO military intervention in the Donbas area would be more conducive to reinforcing Russia's “motivation to combat” under NATO high pressure. Of course, the well-suspected NATO “big fish” at the quick steel factory may well be the same, depending on whether the Russian Government wishes to be made public or “deal” in exchange for the strategic interests of NATO, led by the United States. Russian military science doctor Konstantin Sivkov stated that surrendering armed elements might expose a fact that Western countries have been trying to deny and that they might provide information about the biological laboratory located in the steel factory. One of the reasons for Russia’s special military campaign against the country is “de-Naziization,” and the expected focus of the trial on the crimes committed by the Ugandan army and by members of the “Ascent Battalion” in these areas. According to the analysis, the confession of those who surrendered was not only important evidence that Russia had demonstrated to the international community the impartiality of its military action against Ukraine, but also a “catalyst” to demonstrate to the country the legitimacy of the actions of the Russian army in order to further build a domestic consensus. Four categories of personnel will be “differentiated” According to the statement of the Government of Ukraine, the armed Ukrainians trapped in the quick steel factory have completed an important historical mission to control the Russian army, and the Government will exchange the lives and freedom of the “evacuees” through the prisoner-of-war exchange channel. However, the Russian newspaper Businessman reports that Russia has no plans to exchange prisoners of war for surrendered armed Ukrainians. The Russian Federal Investigation Commission has stated that, as part of its investigation into criminal cases committed by armed Ukrainians against civilians in Donbas, they will be involved in the interrogation of surrenderers of the Azov steel factory, all of whom will be subject to rigorous screening procedures. The first category is ordinary UFO soldiers and low-ranking commanders. Such surrenderers would be best handled and, once identified, would be treated as prisoners of war in the absence of serious humanitarian crimes and could be the object of an exchange of prisoners of war with the U.S. Government. The second category is military personnel who have committed humanitarian crimes, which must include members of the “Ascent Battalion” and senior commanders of the U.S. Army, as well as sub-units of the U.S. who have been identified as having committed well-founded crimes. The group was also very well handled and it is expected that the Russian side will be sentenced for war crimes in accordance with domestic law; in particular, the armed elements of Camp Azov will be severely punished. On May 17, the Russian State Duma has raised the issue of banning the exchange of captured Russian military personnel by armed elements of the “Ascent Battalion.” Russian State Duma President Vyacheslav Volokin said: “No exchange should be made for Nazi criminals. These are war criminals, and we must do everything we can to bring them to justice.” At the same time, he instructed the Duma Defence Council to prepare a draft resolution. At the same time, the Office of the Procurator-General of the Russian Federation requested the Supreme Court to recognize Camp Azov as a terrorist organization, and the Supreme Court plans to consider the draft on 26 May. The third category is the so-called foreign mercenaries, who are the most sensitive to deal with, although the Russian Government has publicly declared that they will not be treated as “prisoners of war” when they come to the U.S. war. In fact, these mercenaries often have a strong “white supremacy” ideology, are accustomed to extreme right-wing extremism, and their home Governments are reluctant to accept such individuals back home. The fourth category is a possible “big fish.” Although it may not be a high-ranking NATO commander, the capture of active-duty United States and other NATO officers may also trigger a shock. Russia will take this opportunity to raise awareness. Avalanche steel factory is doomed to destroy its fate. The control of the factory and of the entire city of Mariubor will be in Russian hands when the armed men of the steel factory move out of the underground fort and surrender. As a next step, the Russian army will gradually carry out a clean-up operation at the quick steel plant, based on confessions from surrendered persons. According to OTA 18, the leader of the “Republic of Donetsk”, Pushlin, stated that the Irich factory in Maliubor would be restored and the quick steel plant dismantled “in view of the fact that the local population had been polluting the environment from the very moment it appeared, so that at the site of the steel plant where the armed elements were hiding, it was planned to build a science park or park, but no decision had yet been taken”. There is an analysis that the Russian Federation will deploy additional troops to other fronts in the Donbas area from Mali-Upol, which also means that the land bridge from the Russian border to the Crimea peninsula will soon be fully opened and that the Russian military operation against Ukraine will gain more initiative.


Note: This is a translated version of the Chinese news media article. A mature and nuanced reading is suggested.



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Azov Steel Plant Surrenders: "Intelligence Bonanza" in Russia's Eyes


2022-05-20: [Article Link]  The total seizure of Mali Upor is of great importance to Russia's “special military operation” against Uganda, but the Russian army is facing a new challenge immediately — how to identify the armed Ugandans who surrendered from the quick steel plant. The Russian Ministry of Defence announced on 18 that, in the past 24 hours, 694 armed men, including 29 wounded, had surrendered from the quick steel plant and that since 16 years, a total of 959 armed men had surrendered. The interrogation screening will be a big project. The Russian Free Media reported on 17 that there are currently more than 2,000 people at the quick steel factory, of whom only 800 are nationalists of the notorious “Ascent Camp” and the rest are Ukrainian army personnel, including the 53rd, 54th, 56th and 36th Marine Brigades. Russian military expert Victor Litovkin says, “We still don’t know how many foreign mercenaries are at the quick steel factory, or how many NATO instructors there are. This information is not yet available.” In response to the surrender of armed men from the quick steel factory, Donetsk, a political scientist from Donetsk, Volodymyr Kornilov, stated to the Russian newspaper Opinion that the wounded armed men were now being treated in the Donetsk hospital and that the Russian side would then interrogate and screen them. For the Russian army, the surrender of the quick steel factory is undoubtedly an “intelligence-rich mine” that needs to be developed, and the interrogation and screening process will also be a time-consuming and labour-intensive project. Ukrainian military personnel need to be confirmed that they are not carrying any weapons before withdrawing from the quick steel plant. The Russian side believes that these surrenderers are a “intelligence-rich mine” with three considerations. First, they can provide information on the main structure and security inside the steel plant. On 18 June, a military expert told a reporter from the Global Times that, despite the surrender of armed Ugandans, the threat within the Azov steel factory had not been completely eliminated. On the one hand, it may not be that not all armed men “end the operation” as requested by the Government, and there is a high risk that some “dead loyal” elements, or obstinate elements of Camp Azov, will be present to hold on to the underground fortresses of the steel factory, which will also require the complete clean-up of the Russian army. On the other hand, the installation of explosives or tactile mines inside the steel factory before the surrender of the armed Ugandans would not be excluded, which would pose a significant threat to the subsequent battle clean-up operations of the Russian army. As a result, the Russian army needs the first time to know exactly what is going on inside the steel factory, to have very detailed intelligence information and to use the relevant information provided by the surrenderers to cross-check and then “assemble” a huge fabric for use by the Russian army in its clean-up operations at the steel plant. Second, the military connection between the armed Ugandans and the US-led NATO countries is also the focus of the interrogations. The Ugandan side is able to hold on for so long to US-NATO support, especially weapons and near-real-time field intelligence support. What are the ways and means of delivery of weapons from NATO countries to the Donbas area and what hidden routes are not found; what kind of communications support, frequency and password are provided by NATO countries to the armed forces trapped inside the quick steel plant. After all, the people inside the factory were able to remain connected to the outside world after being surrounded by Russian troops; how NATO countries provided tactical intelligence support to the armed forces and what kind of information transmission equipment was used. The above-mentioned experts believe that the Russian army's ability to obtain the above-mentioned information from those who have surrendered is essential for the next Russian military operation in the Donbas area, in particular to facilitate precision attacks on the logistic supply routes that destroy the Army and electromagnetic spectrum interference with NATO support signals. Moreover, substantial evidence of NATO military intervention in the Donbas area would be more conducive to reinforcing Russia's “motivation to combat” under NATO high pressure. Of course, the well-suspected NATO “big fish” at the quick steel factory may well be the same, depending on whether the Russian Government wishes to be made public or “deal” in exchange for the strategic interests of NATO, led by the United States. Russian military science doctor Konstantin Sivkov stated that surrendering armed elements might expose a fact that Western countries have been trying to deny and that they might provide information about the biological laboratory located in the steel factory. One of the reasons for Russia’s special military campaign against the country is “de-Naziization,” and the expected focus of the trial on the crimes committed by the Ugandan army and by members of the “Ascent Battalion” in these areas. According to the analysis, the confession of those who surrendered was not only important evidence that Russia had demonstrated to the international community the impartiality of its military action against Ukraine, but also a “catalyst” to demonstrate to the country the legitimacy of the actions of the Russian army in order to further build a domestic consensus. Four categories of personnel will be “differentiated” According to the statement of the Government of Ukraine, the armed Ukrainians trapped in the quick steel factory have completed an important historical mission to control the Russian army, and the Government will exchange the lives and freedom of the “evacuees” through the prisoner-of-war exchange channel. However, the Russian newspaper Businessman reports that Russia has no plans to exchange prisoners of war for surrendered armed Ukrainians. The Russian Federal Investigation Commission has stated that, as part of its investigation into criminal cases committed by armed Ukrainians against civilians in Donbas, they will be involved in the interrogation of surrenderers of the Azov steel factory, all of whom will be subject to rigorous screening procedures. The first category is ordinary UFO soldiers and low-ranking commanders. Such surrenderers would be best handled and, once identified, would be treated as prisoners of war in the absence of serious humanitarian crimes and could be the object of an exchange of prisoners of war with the U.S. Government. The second category is military personnel who have committed humanitarian crimes, which must include members of the “Ascent Battalion” and senior commanders of the U.S. Army, as well as sub-units of the U.S. who have been identified as having committed well-founded crimes. The group was also very well handled and it is expected that the Russian side will be sentenced for war crimes in accordance with domestic law; in particular, the armed elements of Camp Azov will be severely punished. On May 17, the Russian State Duma has raised the issue of banning the exchange of captured Russian military personnel by armed elements of the “Ascent Battalion.” Russian State Duma President Vyacheslav Volokin said: “No exchange should be made for Nazi criminals. These are war criminals, and we must do everything we can to bring them to justice.” At the same time, he instructed the Duma Defence Council to prepare a draft resolution. At the same time, the Office of the Procurator-General of the Russian Federation requested the Supreme Court to recognize Camp Azov as a terrorist organization, and the Supreme Court plans to consider the draft on 26 May. The third category is the so-called foreign mercenaries, who are the most sensitive to deal with, although the Russian Government has publicly declared that they will not be treated as “prisoners of war” when they come to the U.S. war. In fact, these mercenaries often have a strong “white supremacy” ideology, are accustomed to extreme right-wing extremism, and their home Governments are reluctant to accept such individuals back home. The fourth category is a possible “big fish.” Although it may not be a high-ranking NATO commander, the capture of active-duty United States and other NATO officers may also trigger a shock. Russia will take this opportunity to raise awareness. Avalanche steel factory is doomed to destroy its fate. The control of the factory and of the entire city of Mariubor will be in Russian hands when the armed men of the steel factory move out of the underground fort and surrender. As a next step, the Russian army will gradually carry out a clean-up operation at the quick steel plant, based on confessions from surrendered persons. According to OTA 18, the leader of the “Republic of Donetsk”, Pushlin, stated that the Irich factory in Maliubor would be restored and the quick steel plant dismantled “in view of the fact that the local population had been polluting the environment from the very moment it appeared, so that at the site of the steel plant where the armed elements were hiding, it was planned to build a science park or park, but no decision had yet been taken”. There is an analysis that the Russian Federation will deploy additional troops to other fronts in the Donbas area from Mali-Upol, which also means that the land bridge from the Russian border to the Crimea peninsula will soon be fully opened and that the Russian military operation against Ukraine will gain more initiative.

Note: This is a translated version of the Chinese news media article. A mature and nuanced reading is suggested.

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