Ukraine is panicking! The Azov Steel Plant was defeated or Russia could find out important information, and the Ukrainian President ordered the war to be postponed


2022-05-19: [Article Link On 18 May, the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation issued information according to which armed members of the Ugandan army and the Azov battalion in the steel plant in Maliubor had surrendered, bringing the total number of surrenders to 959 from 16 May to the present date. Ukraine is now in full vulnerability, and it will be more difficult to regain its position from the Russian army unless the United States and the West provide more advanced weapons than “clean cargo”, but it is clear that Ukraine is now only a “puppet” used by the United States and the West to consume Russia, even knowing that Ukraine will not be able to fight Russia. On 18 May, the President of Ukraine, Zelensky, signed a presidential decree extending the state of war and general mobilization for 90 days from 0530 hours on 25 May. The Ukrainian wounded, besieged at the quick steel factory, were lifted out of a bus with a stretcher, and Ukraine intended to wage a lasting war with Russia, with the aim of “wielding Russia by war” rather than of bringing the war to an end as soon as possible to rebuild its homeland. Moreover, Ukraine has now almost lost its “half of the mountain”, and Russia no longer trusts in Ukraine's negotiating stance, and if Ukraine is soft enough at this time, it will not benefit both the West and the United States and Russia to continue fighting and at the same time return to the West's “subsidized” blood. But the Ukraine’s surface is high-profile, and its heart is already in a state of panic. Russia’s capture of Maliubor is significant, but the loss of this treasure for Ukraine is a “big mine.” In the light of the current situation, Russia has already achieved most of the plan for the second phase of the special Russian military operation, with full control of Mali-Upol, Russian access to the Crimea peninsula through the Donbas region and more than 80 per cent of the Black Sea coastline under Russian control. There is currently no public disclosure on the Russian side of how screening is conducted and which institutions are specifically responsible for the matters in question. The Russian military psychologist Anatoli Ignatyev said that once the armed elements of the “Ascent Battalion” fell into the hands of Russian investigators and the handcuffs were held in their hands, their psychological defenses would begin to collapse. This type of personality has been well studied for a long time, and it is reported that there are also foreign mercenaries among these prisoners, who may appear to be no different from Ukrainian soldiers. The next Russian mission will identify them during the initial interrogation. According to Russian experts, the armed elements of Camp Azov must hand over those who gave the orders. “We will understand the situation of mercenaries, how many are mercenaries and which are NATO's `big fish'. In other words, the Russian military first divides surrenderers into three categories: Ugandans, armed nationalists such as Camp Azov, and foreign mercenaries. In the case of mercenaries, careful screening may also include armed foreign personnel, who are usually paid to work, i.e. “international volunteers” in the Western media, as well as members of the United States military or other active military personnel and instructors in other NATO countries, who may be under the guise of mercenaries. These four categories of people, ranked from size to size by Russian priorities, should be “Ascent Camp,” Western military officers, Ugandan military personnel, and foreign mercenaries. These people will also face entirely different kinds of “admission,” which is directly linked to their importance: according to the Russian side, “Ascent Camp” personnel will not be spared, or even treated in a “for-prisoner” manner. The leader of the “Republic of Donetsk”, Dennis Pushlin, stated on 18 that the fate of the Ukrainian armed men who had been trapped in the Malian-Uborian steel factory and who had surrendered would be determined by the courts, “if it was Nazi criminals, it would be the military courts”. That is to say, it is only a matter of time and time that this part of the population has come to know, and of course, this screening operation, as much as a real battle, will be a time-consuming psychological versus will struggle. The Ukrainian evacuees were searched and the lower-ranked foreign mercenaries (after excluding the Western military active in the suit) were probably the most unattended, and the Russians had previously claimed that they would not be treated as prisoners of war. These people may themselves be brainwashed by extremist ideas such as “whites” and their governments are reluctant to take these extremists. How to deal with them is a test for the Russian side. The best way to deal with this is for Ukrainian military personnel, especially low-ranking soldiers of the Army, who, if it is established that they are not involved in the related criminal activities of the “Ascent Battalion”, are likely to become the usual leverage for the “exchange of prisoners” with the Russian Army in follow-up. But there are a few exceptions: senior officers of the U.S. Army, who are likely to have a higher use. Is there really no big fish? To date, however, there seems to be no official mention of “big fish” in Russia-Ukraine. Is there really no “big fish” in a quick steel factory? Lao Liu believes that what is a “big fish” can be explored in multiple dimensions. First, must it be a human being or must it be a high-ranking officer from a Western country? Not necessarily, according to Lao Liu, if it is not a senior commander of the Western army, but a number of active Western military officers who can be identified, without having to be particularly high, they can still be regarded as “big fish”. The Russian side will use this as a means of promoting Western involvement in Ukraine's military campaign against the Russian Federation, even to raise the need for special Russian military action against the country to a very high level of legitimacy. Secondly, can the "big fish" be a very high-value intel, and Lao Liu believes that this may also be very high. For example, Russian military science doctor Konstantin Sivkov argued that surrendering armed elements might expose a fact that Western countries have been trying to deny. They may provide top-secret information about the biological laboratory located in the steel factory. Liu believes that for the Russian army, the surrender of the quick steel factory is undoubtedly an “intelligence-rich mine” that needs to be developed, although the interrogation and screening process will also be a time-consuming and labour-consuming project. Some of the high-value information comes from the security situation inside the steel plant. Although the U.S. government calls for an end to the war, it is likely that some of the “dead loyal” elements or the hard-core elements of the “accident camp” will be in place to hold on to the underground forts of the steel factory. At the same time, it is not possible to exclude the installation of explosives or mines inside the steel factory prior to the surrender of the armed elements, which would pose a great threat to the subsequent battle clean-up operations of the Russian army. As a result, the Russian army needs to know for the first time what exactly is going on inside the factory and to use the relevant information provided by the surrenderers to cross-check and then “assemble” a huge fabric for use by the Russian army during its clean-up operations at the factory. According to OTA 18, Pushlin, the leader of the “Republic of Donetsk”, stated that the Irich factory in Maliubor would resume and that the quick steel plant would be dismantled. According to Lao Liu, this is not surprising. Because the Russian army must not allow a “spiritual” facility like the quick steel factory to exist, and after a series of fierce battles, the industrial production function of the factory itself has been largely ignored. If boldly envisaged, the future of the Russian side would not even preclude the setting of a deadline before which all personnel in the steel plant would be required to evacuate, and after that time the Russian military would probably bomb parts of the facility in the quick steel plant in order to complete the demolition target.


Note: This is a translated version of the Chinese news media article. A mature and nuanced reading is suggested.



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Ukraine is panicking! The Azov Steel Plant was defeated or Russia could find out important information, and the Ukrainian President ordered the war to be postponed


2022-05-19: [Article Link On 18 May, the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation issued information according to which armed members of the Ugandan army and the Azov battalion in the steel plant in Maliubor had surrendered, bringing the total number of surrenders to 959 from 16 May to the present date. Ukraine is now in full vulnerability, and it will be more difficult to regain its position from the Russian army unless the United States and the West provide more advanced weapons than “clean cargo”, but it is clear that Ukraine is now only a “puppet” used by the United States and the West to consume Russia, even knowing that Ukraine will not be able to fight Russia. On 18 May, the President of Ukraine, Zelensky, signed a presidential decree extending the state of war and general mobilization for 90 days from 0530 hours on 25 May. The Ukrainian wounded, besieged at the quick steel factory, were lifted out of a bus with a stretcher, and Ukraine intended to wage a lasting war with Russia, with the aim of “wielding Russia by war” rather than of bringing the war to an end as soon as possible to rebuild its homeland. Moreover, Ukraine has now almost lost its “half of the mountain”, and Russia no longer trusts in Ukraine's negotiating stance, and if Ukraine is soft enough at this time, it will not benefit both the West and the United States and Russia to continue fighting and at the same time return to the West's “subsidized” blood. But the Ukraine’s surface is high-profile, and its heart is already in a state of panic. Russia’s capture of Maliubor is significant, but the loss of this treasure for Ukraine is a “big mine.” In the light of the current situation, Russia has already achieved most of the plan for the second phase of the special Russian military operation, with full control of Mali-Upol, Russian access to the Crimea peninsula through the Donbas region and more than 80 per cent of the Black Sea coastline under Russian control. There is currently no public disclosure on the Russian side of how screening is conducted and which institutions are specifically responsible for the matters in question. The Russian military psychologist Anatoli Ignatyev said that once the armed elements of the “Ascent Battalion” fell into the hands of Russian investigators and the handcuffs were held in their hands, their psychological defenses would begin to collapse. This type of personality has been well studied for a long time, and it is reported that there are also foreign mercenaries among these prisoners, who may appear to be no different from Ukrainian soldiers. The next Russian mission will identify them during the initial interrogation. According to Russian experts, the armed elements of Camp Azov must hand over those who gave the orders. “We will understand the situation of mercenaries, how many are mercenaries and which are NATO's `big fish'. In other words, the Russian military first divides surrenderers into three categories: Ugandans, armed nationalists such as Camp Azov, and foreign mercenaries. In the case of mercenaries, careful screening may also include armed foreign personnel, who are usually paid to work, i.e. “international volunteers” in the Western media, as well as members of the United States military or other active military personnel and instructors in other NATO countries, who may be under the guise of mercenaries. These four categories of people, ranked from size to size by Russian priorities, should be “Ascent Camp,” Western military officers, Ugandan military personnel, and foreign mercenaries. These people will also face entirely different kinds of “admission,” which is directly linked to their importance: according to the Russian side, “Ascent Camp” personnel will not be spared, or even treated in a “for-prisoner” manner. The leader of the “Republic of Donetsk”, Dennis Pushlin, stated on 18 that the fate of the Ukrainian armed men who had been trapped in the Malian-Uborian steel factory and who had surrendered would be determined by the courts, “if it was Nazi criminals, it would be the military courts”. That is to say, it is only a matter of time and time that this part of the population has come to know, and of course, this screening operation, as much as a real battle, will be a time-consuming psychological versus will struggle. The Ukrainian evacuees were searched and the lower-ranked foreign mercenaries (after excluding the Western military active in the suit) were probably the most unattended, and the Russians had previously claimed that they would not be treated as prisoners of war. These people may themselves be brainwashed by extremist ideas such as “whites” and their governments are reluctant to take these extremists. How to deal with them is a test for the Russian side. The best way to deal with this is for Ukrainian military personnel, especially low-ranking soldiers of the Army, who, if it is established that they are not involved in the related criminal activities of the “Ascent Battalion”, are likely to become the usual leverage for the “exchange of prisoners” with the Russian Army in follow-up. But there are a few exceptions: senior officers of the U.S. Army, who are likely to have a higher use. Is there really no big fish? To date, however, there seems to be no official mention of “big fish” in Russia-Ukraine. Is there really no “big fish” in a quick steel factory? Lao Liu believes that what is a “big fish” can be explored in multiple dimensions. First, must it be a human being or must it be a high-ranking officer from a Western country? Not necessarily, according to Lao Liu, if it is not a senior commander of the Western army, but a number of active Western military officers who can be identified, without having to be particularly high, they can still be regarded as “big fish”. The Russian side will use this as a means of promoting Western involvement in Ukraine's military campaign against the Russian Federation, even to raise the need for special Russian military action against the country to a very high level of legitimacy. Secondly, can the "big fish" be a very high-value intel, and Lao Liu believes that this may also be very high. For example, Russian military science doctor Konstantin Sivkov argued that surrendering armed elements might expose a fact that Western countries have been trying to deny. They may provide top-secret information about the biological laboratory located in the steel factory. Liu believes that for the Russian army, the surrender of the quick steel factory is undoubtedly an “intelligence-rich mine” that needs to be developed, although the interrogation and screening process will also be a time-consuming and labour-consuming project. Some of the high-value information comes from the security situation inside the steel plant. Although the U.S. government calls for an end to the war, it is likely that some of the “dead loyal” elements or the hard-core elements of the “accident camp” will be in place to hold on to the underground forts of the steel factory. At the same time, it is not possible to exclude the installation of explosives or mines inside the steel factory prior to the surrender of the armed elements, which would pose a great threat to the subsequent battle clean-up operations of the Russian army. As a result, the Russian army needs to know for the first time what exactly is going on inside the factory and to use the relevant information provided by the surrenderers to cross-check and then “assemble” a huge fabric for use by the Russian army during its clean-up operations at the factory. According to OTA 18, Pushlin, the leader of the “Republic of Donetsk”, stated that the Irich factory in Maliubor would resume and that the quick steel plant would be dismantled. According to Lao Liu, this is not surprising. Because the Russian army must not allow a “spiritual” facility like the quick steel factory to exist, and after a series of fierce battles, the industrial production function of the factory itself has been largely ignored. If boldly envisaged, the future of the Russian side would not even preclude the setting of a deadline before which all personnel in the steel plant would be required to evacuate, and after that time the Russian military would probably bomb parts of the facility in the quick steel plant in order to complete the demolition target.

Note: This is a translated version of the Chinese news media article. A mature and nuanced reading is suggested.

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