Epidemic|Beijing will follow in Shanghai's footsteps and now has a large-scale epidemic? Wu Zunyou: The possibility is very small


2022-05-14: [Article Link Beijing’s emergence of a new wave of Covid-19 outbreak has raised the question of whether it will turn into a generalized epidemic and, at one time, it has been announced that Beijing will seal the city. In response, the Chinese CDC’s chief expert in epidemiology, Mr. Wu, issued a late Friday (13), suggesting that this is a very unlikely possibility. He said that the people believed in rumours and spread them very quickly, pointing to the problem that everyone was still worried, afraid, that Beijing would have the same scale-up of the Covid-19 epidemic as Hong Kong and Shanghai. In this context, he points out how Beijing has responded in three ways, one of which is to say that, in March this year, Beijing began asking himself whether the massive epidemic in Hong Kong, Gilling and Shanghai could have occurred in Beijing and how to prevent it. When a local government is able to think ahead of time about such risks and prepare itself for such potential risks, it should be said that Beijing is well prepared. The second is that, in April, there were several transmission chains, and when the epidemic started, Beijing was cut off, and the Covid-19 disease prevention and control measures, mainly based on high frequency and wide coverage of nucleic acid surveys, were put in place, providing an initial picture of the epidemic's basics, providing timely and valuable information for precision control, breaking down the transmission chain and, in due course, taking a variety of measures, such as containment, isolation, home-based surveillance and so forth, blocking the main channels of transmission of the virus. The Beijing epidemic continues, and since today (12 days), citizens have entered the political branch of the party business and other social units, business buildings, supermarkets, hotels, restaurants, restaurants and other public places to check for negative proof of nucleic acid testing within 48 hours. Finally, the data are real and manageable. In the daily reports of the epidemic, not only are the number of new infections reported, the number of confirmed cases and the number of non-deficit infections reported, but also the number of positive daily nucleic acid test tubes, and the sharing of information on the epidemic with society is one step ahead, reflecting Beijing's confidence in his ability and confidence in controlling the epidemic. According to Beijing’s reports over 70 in the last two days, and between 40 and 50 in the last few days. More importantly, about 95% of the infected have been found among the population under control, with only a few new infections detected in the community every day. Mr. Oh said that the number of new infections made public on a daily basis does not really count as an "epidemiological" and that the impact of the detection measures is such that the daily additions are determined by both the epidemic and the effects of the measures, so that the diagnosis of the epidemic cannot be made simply, depending on how many of these new infections are generated, such as how many have been checked, whether the new infections are from regulators or from non-responsible members of the community, whether the prevention measures are in place, etc. As noted above, it is very unlikely that the outbreak will evolve into a pattern. The direction and pace of the epidemic, although influenced by some of the virus's biological characteristics, are determined by the strength and speed of the prevention measures.


Note: This is a translated version of the Chinese news media article. A mature and nuanced reading is suggested.



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Epidemic|Beijing will follow in Shanghai's footsteps and now has a large-scale epidemic? Wu Zunyou: The possibility is very small


2022-05-14: [Article Link Beijing’s emergence of a new wave of Covid-19 outbreak has raised the question of whether it will turn into a generalized epidemic and, at one time, it has been announced that Beijing will seal the city. In response, the Chinese CDC’s chief expert in epidemiology, Mr. Wu, issued a late Friday (13), suggesting that this is a very unlikely possibility. He said that the people believed in rumours and spread them very quickly, pointing to the problem that everyone was still worried, afraid, that Beijing would have the same scale-up of the Covid-19 epidemic as Hong Kong and Shanghai. In this context, he points out how Beijing has responded in three ways, one of which is to say that, in March this year, Beijing began asking himself whether the massive epidemic in Hong Kong, Gilling and Shanghai could have occurred in Beijing and how to prevent it. When a local government is able to think ahead of time about such risks and prepare itself for such potential risks, it should be said that Beijing is well prepared. The second is that, in April, there were several transmission chains, and when the epidemic started, Beijing was cut off, and the Covid-19 disease prevention and control measures, mainly based on high frequency and wide coverage of nucleic acid surveys, were put in place, providing an initial picture of the epidemic's basics, providing timely and valuable information for precision control, breaking down the transmission chain and, in due course, taking a variety of measures, such as containment, isolation, home-based surveillance and so forth, blocking the main channels of transmission of the virus. The Beijing epidemic continues, and since today (12 days), citizens have entered the political branch of the party business and other social units, business buildings, supermarkets, hotels, restaurants, restaurants and other public places to check for negative proof of nucleic acid testing within 48 hours. Finally, the data are real and manageable. In the daily reports of the epidemic, not only are the number of new infections reported, the number of confirmed cases and the number of non-deficit infections reported, but also the number of positive daily nucleic acid test tubes, and the sharing of information on the epidemic with society is one step ahead, reflecting Beijing's confidence in his ability and confidence in controlling the epidemic. According to Beijing’s reports over 70 in the last two days, and between 40 and 50 in the last few days. More importantly, about 95% of the infected have been found among the population under control, with only a few new infections detected in the community every day. Mr. Oh said that the number of new infections made public on a daily basis does not really count as an "epidemiological" and that the impact of the detection measures is such that the daily additions are determined by both the epidemic and the effects of the measures, so that the diagnosis of the epidemic cannot be made simply, depending on how many of these new infections are generated, such as how many have been checked, whether the new infections are from regulators or from non-responsible members of the community, whether the prevention measures are in place, etc. As noted above, it is very unlikely that the outbreak will evolve into a pattern. The direction and pace of the epidemic, although influenced by some of the virus's biological characteristics, are determined by the strength and speed of the prevention measures.

Note: This is a translated version of the Chinese news media article. A mature and nuanced reading is suggested.

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