Reading and creating a late-night file 〡 The global interest rate hike is surging, China is moving in the opposite direction, and A shares are dormant to rise


2022-09-23: [Chinese Article Link]  I'm a reporter from The Shenzhen Business Journal, Ma Qiang. Once again, the Fed announces an increase in the rate of violence from Xinhua. The global boom has intensified. Following America’s announcement of 75 basis points for a violent hike, the British, Norwegian, and Indonesian central banks are all “following” today, announcing 50 basis points for an increase. What are the implications of the global “boom-up” for the world economy and how are China's policy options viewed? Marketers argue that the different macroeconomic environments that countries face determine their different policy orientations, such as a relatively stable economy, and relatively moderate CPI data, give sufficient room for China to choose prudent monetary policy. While A shares have performed poorly overall in volatile global capital markets for several months over the years, they have inflamed the power of future upwards. The United States has once again “violently raised interest” 75 basis points; the Global Central Bank has raised interest more than 100 times in the course of the year. Following two major increases of 75 basis points in June and July, on 21 September local time, the Fed again significantly increased the rate of 75 basis points, raising the federal fund interest rate to 3.00 per cent-3.25 per cent. This is the Federal Reserve’s fifth increase in interest rates since this year, and the third consecutive increase in interest rates of 75 basis points, creating the Fed’s fastest-growing record for more than 40 years. To date, the Fed has raised interest rates five times this year, with a cumulative increase of 300 basis points. Since this year, with America’s contractions and interest hikes, dozens of countries around the world have “catch me up” to launch interest hikes, a global wave of interest hikes. According to incomplete statistics, the world’s regional central banks have increased their interest more than 100 times this year. It is noteworthy that journalists have noticed that in this global “boom-up” there are also some data that make the public feel likely to be “breathing”: for example, Peru, located in South America, has the highest interest-raising frequency, almost once a month, and the Central Bank of Peru, for the fourteenth consecutive increase in interest rates in early September, with its key interest rates increasing cumulatively by 650 basis points in the current cycle, reaching their highest level in 20 years. With regard to the increase in interest rates, on 28 June, the Tianjin Babwe Reserve Bank issued a statement that the Monetary Policy Committee had decided to raise policy interest rates from 80 per cent to 200 per cent, raising interest rates to 12,000 basis points, in order to counter triple inflation and stabilize the declining exchange rate. A warning from the World Bank that the tide pushes the risk of a global recession A study published by the World Bank on 15 showed that a simultaneous increase in interest rates by the global central bank in response to inflation could plunge the world economy into recession and cause lasting damage to emerging markets and developing economies as a result of financial crises. Research suggests that the global central bank has been raising interest rates this year at a pace that it has not seen in the last 50 years, a trend that is likely to continue until next year. Investors expect that, by 2023, the average rate of interest on global monetary policy will rise to almost 4%, more than 2 percentage points higher than in 2021. Research suggests that to lower inflation to target levels, central banks may need to raise interest rates by an average of two percentage points. In this case, if financial-market pressures are combined, global GDP growth will slow to 0.5% in 2023, with a contraction of 0.4% per capita, in line with the technical definition of the global recession. Research suggests that global central banks should and can respond to inflation without triggering a global recession, which requires concerted action by policymakers. According to World Bank President Malpas, global economic growth is slowing sharply, and global growth is likely to slow further as more countries fall into recession. If this trend continues, it will have devastating long-term consequences for populations in emerging markets and developing economies. The Chinese-American economic cycle is not synchronized, and the Central Bank of China is on its backsliding, reducing interest rates three times a year. The global boom has increased, but the Central Bank of China has remained firm, focused on me, and turned backwards. The Central Bank of China has reduced interest rates three times in a year, from January to September, by five basis points, 15 basis points, and 15 basis points, with a cumulative of 35 basis points. Experts pointed out that global interest hikes and China's reduction were rational choices for China's monetary policy management over time, through interest rate reductions and moderate easing to enhance internal dynamism and market dynamism, to promote internal circulation in order to stabilize the economy, and that China's economic cycle was not synchronized with the United States, monetary policy was relatively liberal, fiscal policy was relatively active, policy space was huge and policy tools were abundant. In addition, the risk of inflation in China is manageable and can be maintained throughout the year at a moderate inflation zone of around 3 per cent growth in CPI, which offers the possibility for monetary policy to release liquidity and further strengthens China's “continuing interest-reduction” capacity and base. The increase in global interest rates and the reduction in China's interest rates reflect not only the confidence of China's second largest economy globally, but also the legitimacy of a stable economy. A share: Upward kinetic energy in evaporation, Chinese asset class or winning the United States stock market. What is the impact of this hike in the United States and the global boom on A’s share? Experts argue that A’s growing up in an ambush does not have to be overly pessimistic about post-market investors. Specifically, the negative impact on Unit A of this increase in interest rates in the United States and the global increase in interest rates was as follows: One is that the US Federal Reserve's violent interest hike has led to a fall in the US stock market, a fall in global risk asset preferences, a strengthening of the dollar as a result of the US Federal Reserve's interest hike, and a downward pressure on the renminbi, which could lead to capital outflows, all of which could have a possible negative impact on A's share. The second is that the global boom could lead to a global economic downturn, putting pressure on global demand to fall, which could be passed on to China's foreign trade, foreign demand sector and related listed companies. On the other hand, in addition to the pressure, Unit A has the following positive supporting factors: First, in terms of the macroeconomic fundamentals of the country, economic and financial data for August suggest that our economy sends a good signal of a return to warming. The economy at the bottom of domestic monetary policy is evident, and liquidity as a whole is still reasonably abundant. Second, with regard to the valuation of Unit A, the market valuation of Unit A is currently at a relatively low level; from 5 July to 22 September, the round of Unit A adjustments continued for 80 days, with the upwards index adjusted downwards by 9.49 per cent in terms of count. On September 22, #experts claimed that China’s stock market could win the US stock market # and went to Weibo #. Against the background of the topic, the head of China’s landlord of the Swiss and Swedish Global Financial Markets Department, Mr. Ming, said in his statement to a forum, “The Fed’s interest hikes are important points for attention throughout the financial market, including in various capital markets around the globe. If we look at America’s cycle-wide interest-added environment, there will probably be some pressure on emerging markets, including China’s. While not alone, it is a fundamental judgement that China’s asset class can win the US stock market in a large cyclical environment. The landlord decided that, in a large cyclical environment, the Chinese asset class could win the US stock market. I'm going to read it: Arsenal.


Note: This is a machine translated version of the Chinese news media article. A mature and nuanced reading is suggested.




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Reading and creating a late-night file 〡 The global interest rate hike is surging, China is moving in the opposite direction, and A shares are dormant to rise


2022-09-23: [Article Link]  I'm a reporter from The Shenzhen Business Journal, Ma Qiang. Once again, the Fed announces an increase in the rate of violence from Xinhua. The global boom has intensified. Following America’s announcement of 75 basis points for a violent hike, the British, Norwegian, and Indonesian central banks are all “following” today, announcing 50 basis points for an increase. What are the implications of the global “boom-up” for the world economy and how are China's policy options viewed? Marketers argue that the different macroeconomic environments that countries face determine their different policy orientations, such as a relatively stable economy, and relatively moderate CPI data, give sufficient room for China to choose prudent monetary policy. While A shares have performed poorly overall in volatile global capital markets for several months over the years, they have inflamed the power of future upwards. The United States has once again “violently raised interest” 75 basis points; the Global Central Bank has raised interest more than 100 times in the course of the year. Following two major increases of 75 basis points in June and July, on 21 September local time, the Fed again significantly increased the rate of 75 basis points, raising the federal fund interest rate to 3.00 per cent-3.25 per cent. This is the Federal Reserve’s fifth increase in interest rates since this year, and the third consecutive increase in interest rates of 75 basis points, creating the Fed’s fastest-growing record for more than 40 years. To date, the Fed has raised interest rates five times this year, with a cumulative increase of 300 basis points. Since this year, with America’s contractions and interest hikes, dozens of countries around the world have “catch me up” to launch interest hikes, a global wave of interest hikes. According to incomplete statistics, the world’s regional central banks have increased their interest more than 100 times this year. It is noteworthy that journalists have noticed that in this global “boom-up” there are also some data that make the public feel likely to be “breathing”: for example, Peru, located in South America, has the highest interest-raising frequency, almost once a month, and the Central Bank of Peru, for the fourteenth consecutive increase in interest rates in early September, with its key interest rates increasing cumulatively by 650 basis points in the current cycle, reaching their highest level in 20 years. With regard to the increase in interest rates, on 28 June, the Tianjin Babwe Reserve Bank issued a statement that the Monetary Policy Committee had decided to raise policy interest rates from 80 per cent to 200 per cent, raising interest rates to 12,000 basis points, in order to counter triple inflation and stabilize the declining exchange rate. A warning from the World Bank that the tide pushes the risk of a global recession A study published by the World Bank on 15 showed that a simultaneous increase in interest rates by the global central bank in response to inflation could plunge the world economy into recession and cause lasting damage to emerging markets and developing economies as a result of financial crises. Research suggests that the global central bank has been raising interest rates this year at a pace that it has not seen in the last 50 years, a trend that is likely to continue until next year. Investors expect that, by 2023, the average rate of interest on global monetary policy will rise to almost 4%, more than 2 percentage points higher than in 2021. Research suggests that to lower inflation to target levels, central banks may need to raise interest rates by an average of two percentage points. In this case, if financial-market pressures are combined, global GDP growth will slow to 0.5% in 2023, with a contraction of 0.4% per capita, in line with the technical definition of the global recession. Research suggests that global central banks should and can respond to inflation without triggering a global recession, which requires concerted action by policymakers. According to World Bank President Malpas, global economic growth is slowing sharply, and global growth is likely to slow further as more countries fall into recession. If this trend continues, it will have devastating long-term consequences for populations in emerging markets and developing economies. The Chinese-American economic cycle is not synchronized, and the Central Bank of China is on its backsliding, reducing interest rates three times a year. The global boom has increased, but the Central Bank of China has remained firm, focused on me, and turned backwards. The Central Bank of China has reduced interest rates three times in a year, from January to September, by five basis points, 15 basis points, and 15 basis points, with a cumulative of 35 basis points. Experts pointed out that global interest hikes and China's reduction were rational choices for China's monetary policy management over time, through interest rate reductions and moderate easing to enhance internal dynamism and market dynamism, to promote internal circulation in order to stabilize the economy, and that China's economic cycle was not synchronized with the United States, monetary policy was relatively liberal, fiscal policy was relatively active, policy space was huge and policy tools were abundant. In addition, the risk of inflation in China is manageable and can be maintained throughout the year at a moderate inflation zone of around 3 per cent growth in CPI, which offers the possibility for monetary policy to release liquidity and further strengthens China's “continuing interest-reduction” capacity and base. The increase in global interest rates and the reduction in China's interest rates reflect not only the confidence of China's second largest economy globally, but also the legitimacy of a stable economy. A share: Upward kinetic energy in evaporation, Chinese asset class or winning the United States stock market. What is the impact of this hike in the United States and the global boom on A’s share? Experts argue that A’s growing up in an ambush does not have to be overly pessimistic about post-market investors. Specifically, the negative impact on Unit A of this increase in interest rates in the United States and the global increase in interest rates was as follows: One is that the US Federal Reserve's violent interest hike has led to a fall in the US stock market, a fall in global risk asset preferences, a strengthening of the dollar as a result of the US Federal Reserve's interest hike, and a downward pressure on the renminbi, which could lead to capital outflows, all of which could have a possible negative impact on A's share. The second is that the global boom could lead to a global economic downturn, putting pressure on global demand to fall, which could be passed on to China's foreign trade, foreign demand sector and related listed companies. On the other hand, in addition to the pressure, Unit A has the following positive supporting factors: First, in terms of the macroeconomic fundamentals of the country, economic and financial data for August suggest that our economy sends a good signal of a return to warming. The economy at the bottom of domestic monetary policy is evident, and liquidity as a whole is still reasonably abundant. Second, with regard to the valuation of Unit A, the market valuation of Unit A is currently at a relatively low level; from 5 July to 22 September, the round of Unit A adjustments continued for 80 days, with the upwards index adjusted downwards by 9.49 per cent in terms of count. On September 22, #experts claimed that China’s stock market could win the US stock market # and went to Weibo #. Against the background of the topic, the head of China’s landlord of the Swiss and Swedish Global Financial Markets Department, Mr. Ming, said in his statement to a forum, “The Fed’s interest hikes are important points for attention throughout the financial market, including in various capital markets around the globe. If we look at America’s cycle-wide interest-added environment, there will probably be some pressure on emerging markets, including China’s. While not alone, it is a fundamental judgement that China’s asset class can win the US stock market in a large cyclical environment. The landlord decided that, in a large cyclical environment, the Chinese asset class could win the US stock market. I'm going to read it: Arsenal.

Note: This is a translated version of the Chinese news media article. A mature and nuanced reading is suggested.

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